Grains, Pulses & Oilseeds Market Update (05/07/2024)

The Chinese market has been experiencing a slowdown and fluctuations in demand over the past 1.5 months. Australian red sorghum has been quoted at U$300/MT for CFR China major, whereas buyer’s target price remains at U$290/MT as spot market is weak & traders are losing money at the moment.  

Australian barley enjoys strong local demand, yet it contends with intense competition from Black Sea barley in China. Bulk Australian barley is priced below U$265/MT, Russian barley quoted at U$250/MT, Ukrainian barley priced at U$240/MT for bulk & under U$255/MT for containers, and Canadian barley is trading below $260/MT (Jul/Aug) to CFR China in containers.

Currently, there is a lack of buying interest in Kaspa peas owing to low demand, with spot market rates hovering around U$430-435/MT. Similarly for Australian GMB – P grade quoted at U$950/MT to CFR Qingdao, lack of buying interest as buyers prefers cheaper options such Kenya at U$800/MT, Myanmar at U$805/MT; Argentina at U$730/MT; Madagascar at U$880/MT; Brazil at U$805/MT. 

In SEA regions Australian wheat – APW1 quoted at under U$295/MT; APH2 at U$365/MT; AH1 at U$335/MT to CFR SEA major ports in containers & also we heard that ASW quoted at U$285/MT; H2 at U$310/MT levels to CFR Qingdao in containers with no firm buying interest.

The Indian pulses market has experienced minimal activity over the past two weeks. The market for desi chickpeas has seen a slight decline, leading to lack of buying interest. Consequently, CHK1(24/25) new crop was traded at U$825/MT (Nov/Dec) & trade offers CHK1(23/24) old crop at U$850/MT to CNF India in containers. Furthermore, there is a subdued demand for Australian lentils, with offers standing at U$745/MT to CFR Kolkata (Jul/Aug) & forward trade offers at U$720/MT (Nov/Dec) to CFR Kolkata in containers.

Pakistan’s market has experienced a decline this week. Hearing trade offers of CHK1(23/24) at U$865/MT; CHKM at U$805/MT; NIP1/HAL1 at U$760/MT to CFR Karachi (Jul/Aug) in containers with limited buying interest. As heard from market sources that local market prices for CHKM is improved to U$785/MT & nipper at U$750/MT levels this week.

Bangladesh market is quiet – sentiments are bearish from buyer due to high prices of desi chickpeas, red lentils, canola & kaspa peas. Hearing from market source that local market prices for red lentils at U$715/MT & desi chickpeas at U$795/MT levels.

Sluggish demand in Nepal for Australian lentils, desi chickpeas & canola at the moment. Hearing offers of canola at U$675/MT; NIP1/HAL1 at U$775/MT; CHK1(23/24) at U$895/MT levels to CFR Birgunj in containers.  

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Grains, Pulses & Oilseed Market Update (28/06/2024)

Wheat markets continued to track lower this week with ongoing harvest in Russia boosting confidence of Russian exporters. B Sea to SEA – 11.5% pro wheat in containers reported as trading into Indonesia U$261/MT for Aug/Sep; FW offers reported in bulk low U$260’s CFRLO Thai port. Concurrently, Australian wheat prices have fallen, with the SEA region’s APW1 being quoted below U$295/MT CFR SEA major ports.

India’s pulses basket experienced slower trading this week due to traders re-adjusting and re-aligning trade positions according to recent statutory directives on stock limits and imports. The Indian government expects pulses basket prices to cool off in Jul/Aug period on increased imports of pulses from Africa countries and increased planting of Tur in Karnataka and Maharashtra though increased production is subject to sufficient monsoonal coverage.

The Indian government has recently imposed stock limits on pulses until September 30, 2024, and on wheat until March 31, 2025, to regulate prices and reign in food inflation.

Currently Australian desi chickpeas CHK1(23/24) are quoted at U$840/MT (Jul/Aug) & new crop CHK1(24/25) quoted at U$850/MT (Oct/Nov); U$840/MT (Nov/Dec) CNF India main ports in containers basis. There is minimal trading activity in Australian red lentils, with prices ranging from U$730/MT (Jul/Aug) to CNF India main ports in containers.

Post-Eid holidays, the Pakistan market has seen some trading activity. The current crop of Australian desi chickpeas (CHK1) is traded small volumes at U$835-840/MT, with trade offers for CHKM at U$815/MT and NIP1/HAL1 at U$750/MT, CFR Karachi (Jul/Aug) in containers. Shipping containers to Karachi ongoing challenge with limited shipping lines providing service ex Australia.

All agriculture commodities are experiencing low demand in China; Australian sorghum is being quoted at U$300/MT, CFR China major ports, though buyers are aiming for U$290–292/MT (Aug/Oct) coverage. Kaspa peas are quoted at U$500/MT to CFR Tianjin, but there is low buying interest as bids stand at U$450-455/MT. Australian GMB – P grade is offered at U$985/MT to CFR Qingdao, while buyers show more interest in the cheaper grades of GMB from Australian GMB – M grade under U$810/MT, Argentina under U$750/MT, Brazil under U$805/MT, and Myanmar under U$800/MT.

In Egypt, minimal demand for current crop of Faba beans & Lupins offers are quoted at U$550/MT & U$535/MT to CFR Damietta in containers (Jul/Aug).

In Nepal, there has been some trade activity in Australian red lentils at U$785-790/MT levels to CFR Birgunj & GM canola min. 44% – quoted at U$665/MT & CHK1(23/24) at U$890-895/MT to CFR Birgunj in containers

The Australian winter crop is in good stage of progress. Seed germinating rains have got crops up and running but follow up rains are crucial in some low subsoil moisture regions in South Australia/Victoria and Western Australia. Central Queensland received major crop boosting rains this week with almost 1-2 inches rains on all cropping areas which will significantly boost their chickpeas production. QLD and NNSW chickpeas are also planted on good sub-soil moisture and getting decent followup rains. Lentils in SA and VIC still need to see a major rain event to boost potential as they were planted on low sub-soil moisture and continue to receive only 5-10 mm each rain event in June.

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Grains, Pulses & Oilseed Market Update (21/06/2024)

Wheat is on decline again this week on US harvest pressure selling and improved/factored in crop for Russia(vicinity of 81-83mmt) & Ukraine(vicinity of 20-21.5mmt). Australian wheat prices followed global cues and declined up to A$9/MT this week. Weak demand from the SEA region with APW being quoted below U$295/MT; APH2 quoted below U$370/MT to CFR SEA major ports.

Australian barley is uncompetitive as domestic values have remained strong on back of limited stocks and dryness in SA & WA. CFR China ports heard quoted at U$280/MT but trade offers from other origins, such as Ukraine barley – U$255/MT; French barley below U$270/MT, & hearing trade reported of Russian barley above U$250/MT in bulk.

China demand across all commodities is sluggish; low consumptive demand and summer heat partly to blame. The demand for Australian sorghum remains stable with trade offers quoted at U$300/MT to CNF major Chinese ports (Jul/Aug). A few trades have been reported at U$295/MT to CFR Tianjin (Jul/Aug) in containers but very limited interest from buyers as they start receiving US sorghum and ample availability of stock limits trade margins.

China’s mung bean market is currently quiet, with spot market prices rising despite a drop in Chinese buyer demand. Trade offers are quoted for Australian GMB-P grade at U$980/MT to CFR Qingdao in containers. Buyers though are reluctant to purchase due to expectations that summer consumptive demand is waning.

Indian pulses markets have remained flat this week after a few weeks of price appreciation. The new Indian government has settled in post elections and traders now look for cues on market demand and government positions. India’s desi chickpeas market is experiencing a sideways trend, with trade offers are being quoted for Australian desi chickpeas no.1 (24/25) – U$860/MT (Oct/Nov); U$835/MT (Dec/Jan) – CNF India ports in containers. Additionally, there are some trading activities on Australian red lentils, with trade reported at U$735/MT levels to CFR Kolkata (Jul/Aug) & forward trade offers quoted at U$715-720/MT (Nov/Dec) to CNF India in containers.

Recently Indian government announced attractive MSP for Kharif(Summer) crop procurement. Summer pulses crops like Pigeon Peas(Tuar) MSP increased 7.86% and Black Matpe by 6.47% over previous year signifying importance of pulses price directions to keep Indian farmers motivated to grow more pulses.

India Meteorological Department (IMD) advises June monsoon has stalled leading to 20% below normal June precipitation in central and NW India. Kharif crop sowing in June/July may be impacted by low rainfall in key northern states.

Pakistan, Egypt and Bangladesh markets have been on EID holidays this week and are opening slowly.

In Nepal, there are trade inquiries for Australian GM canola, but there is minimal buying interest in Australian lentils and desi chickpeas. Trade offers are being heard for NIP/HAL1 at U$795/MT and CHK1 at U$900/MT to CFR Birgunj, with GM Canola quoted at U$650/MT to CFR Kolkata.

Container supply chain is facing increased freight costs, with predictions suggesting ocean freight costs could reach Covid era peak by 2025 in China/Europe route due to red sea security situation and longer route via cape affecting transit as well as significant tranship port congestion. Ex Australia, we have seen rate increases implemented into Asia and SE Asia to the tune of 10-25% for Q3.

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Grains, Pulses & Oilseed Market Update (14/06/2024)

US wheat crop harvest, harvest commencing in Europe and alleviating weather concerns for Russia have eased global wheat prices; Australian wheat prices have also eased following global cues. APW prices have declined by A$12–15/MT this week.

Australian wheat is expected to face intense competition from Russian and Ukrainian wheat in the SEA & EA region, since Turkey has put a hold on wheat imports from both nations until the next government notification. In SEA region APW being quoted at U$308/MT levels to CFR Major SEA ports which is U$10 higher than CIS origins.

Indian pulses markets continue to trade under fundamental demand matrix though with increased fears of government controls. Market sources indicate that the current crop of Australian desi chickpeas are nearly sold out, origin prices for new crop are firming up as demand from India is expected to remain strong in the coming months.

Demand for Australian desi chickpeas in India has eased in the past week with offers and bids declining U$10/MT week on week; offers are quoted at U$890/MT to CNF India ports (Jul/Aug) with limited buyer interest, and forward month business is reportedly trading at U$860-65/MT to CNF India (Oct/Nov) in containers. Australian red lentils are in low demand; hearing that trade reported at U$745/mt to CFR Kolkata in containers.

In Pakistan, the Eid festival is approaching, and there has been no trade activity for the past 5 weeks due to sluggish demand. Current trade offers are reported for NIP1/HAL1 at U$750-755/MT, CHK1 at U$910/MT, & CHKM at U$835/MT to CFR Karachi in containers.

Australia’s red sorghum is in stable to low demand in China, hearing trade offers at U$304/MT to CFR Tianjin (Jul/Aug) in containers. There is minimal demand for Australian GMB P-grades because other origins of GMB are more reasonably priced. Trade offers of Australian GMB-P grade at U$980/MT to CFR Qingdao. Kaspa peas have been quoted at U$505/MT for CFR Tianjin in containers, reflecting some buyer interest.

In Nepal, minimal demand for Australian canola, chickpeas, and red lentils. we hearing trade offers for NIP1/HAL1 at U$795/MT to CFR Birgunj & recent trade reported for canola at U$630/MT to CFR Kolkata (J/J or J/A) in containers. 

In Egypt, there is minimal demand for Australian faba beans and lupins. Trade offers for faba beans have been heard at USD 545-550/MT to CFR Damietta.

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Grains, Pulses & Oilseed Market Update (07/06/2024)

According to the latest ABARES report, the forecast for winter crop production in 2024/25 is as follows: Wheat – 29.1MT, Barley – 11.5MT, Canola – 5.4MT, Lentils – 1.6MT, Chickpeas – 1.1MT & Lupins – 1.39MT.

Last week, the weather in Russia and Ukraine turned out better than expected, which caused the global wheat market to dip. Australian wheat market also experienced a price decline, dropping by A$10-12 nationwide. In SEA, APW is quoted at U$312/MT; APH2 at U$350/MT levels to CFR SEA major ports.

The Chinese market is currently stable to low due to weak demand. Australian sorghum is quoted at U$305/MT levels CNF China major ports, attracting limited buyer interest. However, buyers are looking at cheaper sorghum from the USA and Argentina origin; market reports suggest that USA sorghum is trading in bulk at U$296/MT, while Argentine sorghum is trading in bulk below U$260/MT to CNF China major ports.

Australian GMB – P grade is being quoted at U$1020/MT levels to CFR Qingdao with limited buyer interest as buyers receiving offering of GMB from Myanmar origin at U$810/MT levels to CNF China ports. 

Australian MALT1 barley is quoted at U$310/MT for CFR Tianjin in containers, yet buyers are opting to wait as the prices are not viable. Similarly, for MALT FAQ barley, buyers’ bids stand at U$272/MT for containers, which is considered far too low given the high origination prices in Australia.

KASPA PEAS demand is minimal, as we heard trade offer quoted at U$505/MT to CFR Tianjin while buyers bids remain at U$470/MT levels.   

Pakistan’s market has been sluggish for the past four weeks; no demand coming for Australian red lentils & desi chickpeas. As we hearing NIP1/HAL1 being quoted at U$755/MT; CHK1 at U$920/MT & CHKM at U$840/MT levels to CFR Karachi (Jul/Aug) in containers.

India’s desi chickpeas demand has remained steady; however, there was no trading activity last week due to the expected election results. Offers quoted at CHK1 at U$910/MT to CNF India in containers (Jun/Jul). Australian red lentils demand is minimal at the moment, as we are hearing NIP1/HAL1 offer quoted at U$745/MT to CNF India in containers. As we learned from market sources that Tanzanian desi chickpeas trading at U$875/MT to CNF India (Aug/Oct) in containers.

Nepal’s market is currently not showing interest in Australian desi chickpeas, red lentils, and canola; as trade offers at quoted at U$935/MT; U$805/MT & U$680/MT levels to CFR Birgunj in containers (Jul/Aug) in containers.

Egypt’s market experiencing sluggishness in Faba beans & Lupins demand.

In Bangladesh, getting few inquiries for Australian canola & Kaspa peas. 

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Grains, Pulses & Oilseeds Market Update (31/05/2024)

All eyes on Russia and Ukraine weather concerns presently. There have been significant downgrades to Russian wheat crop on account of frosts and dryness in key growing areas although some rains now forecast. Yield potential (more likely in vicinity of 80 – 85 MMT) is still a large unknown until harvest, which is weighing on traders pricing of forward new crop business on both cereals and pulses from those origins.

There is talk of India eliminating its wheat import duty which will likely see an import volume of wheat about 5-6MMT June onwards. GOI working front foot to build its buffer wheat stock purchasing 26.24 MMT vs target of 31 MMT with Indian growers holding back on sales anticipating higher prices.

This week Australian wheat prices have risen due to increased offshore market demand and dryness affecting most parts of the country. In SEA, APW trade reported below U$310/MT levels to CFR SEA main ports in containers.

In QLD & NSW, desi chickpea planting is progressing well. More barley acres reportedly being diverted to chickpeas. We are largely expecting upto 1 million ha being planted to chickpeas between the two states. There has been robust demand for Australian desi chickpeas in India, trades are reported at U$900/MT for Jun/Jul shipments & forward trade reported at U$875/MT for Nov/Dec to CNF India in containers.

Lentils have been planted dry is SA and VIC, however this week between 10-25 mm rain has fallen on SA cropping region which will boost sentiments. Trade demand for Australian red lentils is stable, as we heard trade reported at U$745/MT – J/J shipment to CNF India in containers.

The lack of firm demand for Australian lentils and desi chickpeas from Pakistan over the past three weeks. No trade movement in the market as we are hearing trade offers quoted for NIP1/HAL1 – U$755-760/MT; CHK1 – U$920/MT; CHKM – U$810/MT to CFR Karachi in containers with no firm interest from buyers. According to market experts, there has been a significant price surge in the Pakistani local market this week, with CHKM reaching U$700/MT and NIP/HAL1 reaching U$715/MT. 

Lack of participation from Nepal for Australian red lentils, desi chickpeas & canola as prices are not workable for business at the moment. We heard trade offers for NIP1/HAL1 at U$810/MT to CFR Birgunj in containers. 

Bangladesh is not participation due to slow demand for Australian desi chickpeas & lentils & also no price parity in the destination market at present. Getting some inquiries for Kaspa peas.

Chinese market is currently seeing a dip in demand. Australian sorghum is being quoted at U$300/MT to CNF China main ports for July/Aug shipment with limited buying interest, as buyers are eyeing on to cheaper options such as USA Sorghum & Argentina sorghum. No buying interest for Australian GMB as trade offers at U$920/MT to CFR Qingdao in containers.  

In Egypt, observing minimal demand for faba beans & lupins. As we heard that lupins trade reported at U$510/MT to CFR Damietta in containers. Aus Faba beans have been bid USD540/MT Damietta.

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Grains, Pulses & Oilseeds Market Update (24/05/2024)

Current weather patterns in Black Sea and the US are causing price fluctuations in the global wheat market. As per market experts that East and West Australia are predicted to experience dry patterns. In SEA, APW quoted at U$319/MT levels to CNF SEA major ports.

The ongoing heatwave in India has resulted in a sharp spike in the cost of vegetables and pulses. Australia’s desi chickpeas, both old and new crop, is in high demand in India. Hearing trade offers as follows :

  • CHK1(23/24) at U$910/MT to CNF India (Jun/Jul) & while new crop CHK1(24/25) at U$875/MT to CNF India (Nov/Dec) in containers.

As we are hearing recent trades have been reported at the following levels :

  • CHK1(23/24) at U$860-870/MT to CFR Nhava Sheva (Jun/Jul) & while CHK1(24/25) at U$830/MT to CNF India (Dec/Jan) in containers.

The demand for Australian lentils in India remains stable, trade offers for NIP1/HAL1 are being quoted at U$740/MT to CNF India (Jun/July) & while forward trade reported for NIP1/HAL1 at U$700-705/MT to CNF India (Nov/Dec) in containers.

The trade activity for Australian desi chickpeas and red lentils in Pakistan has been sluggish over the past two weeks, with no trade movement reported. Demand remains weak, reflecting market condition. As we are hearing trade offers quoted for NIP1/HAL1 at U$750-755/MT; CHKM at U$800/MT & CHK1 at U$910/MT to CFR Karachi (Jun/Jul) in containers.

In China, demand for Australian red sorghum is stable, as we are hearing trade offers quoted at U$312/MT levels to CFR Tianjin (Jul/Aug) in containers & while, bulk cargo of Australian reported trading at U$310/MT levels in July. No firm interest in Australian GMB, quoted at U$920/MT to CFR Qingdao in containers.

In Nepal, we hearing trade offer of NIP1/HAL1 at U$785/MT levels to CFR Birgunj. No demand for Australian desi chickpeas at the moment.

In Egypt, no major demand for faba beans & lupins, as we are hearing that 4 bulk cargoes of faba beans has covered up market demand. As we hearing trade offer quoted for faba beans at U$530/MT to CFR Damietta in containers.

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Grains, Pulses & Oilseeds Market Update (17/05/2024)

USDA report projected a 24/25 season global increase in wheat production of 798.2 MMT, primarily from Kazakhstan, Canada, China, India, Australia, and the US. However, ending stocks projected at a tight 253.61 MMT which was bullish news along with weather impact concerns on Russian crop harvesting in July. Australia is expected to produce 29MMT in 24/25. Northern hemisphere harvest commencing July will determine course on wheat pricing for next season and is expected to be slightly bullish.

The Australian wheat cash markets have closely followed bullish sentiments with cash bids up about A$10 pmt across all port zones. The current prices quoted as per market sources for APW and APH2 stand at U$310-U$320/MT and U$390-U$400/MT range to CNF SEA major ports.

The Australian chickpea market continues to be strong, buoyed by short harvest in India. Market still has not found decent parity with origin bid strongly whilst destination interest remains weak. Trade offers for CNF major India ports stand at U$850/MT for June/July & U$820/MT for Nov/Dec shipments. Domestic markets in India slowly creeping up on pricing due to low arrivals whilst potential of government intervention looms.

Australian red lentils are trading at U$730/MT – CFR Kolkata for June/July shipment. Demand is better this past week though with lower selling by growers in Vic/SA, origin pricing maintains its strength and traders struggle with profitability.

Trade movement for Pakistan destination is stagnant due to low demand for Australian lentils and chickpeas. Reports indicate that trade offers for CHKM are quoted at U$790/MT; CHK1 at U$865/MT ; and NIP1/HAL1 at U$725/MT to CFR Karachi in containers. Market experts suggest that the local market is slow, with CHKM priced at U$665/MT and Nipper at U$700/MT equivalent which is a fair bit off from import values creating disparity.

Demand for Australian sorghum in China remains steady, with trade offers cited at U$295/MT for CFR Tianjin in containers as Chinese buyer showing interest in Argentina’s sorghum trading at 260/MT levels in bulk shipments. A couple of bulk Australian sorghum cargoes reportedly traded for Jun/Jul shipment at U$285-U$290 CNF China ports. Further this week there has been a lack of buying interest for Australian GMB, indicating weak demand, with trade offers for Processing grade at U$920/MT to CFR Qingdao. Australian barley is trading at U$280-282/MT in boxes, with bulk shipments priced at USD 275/MT for CNF China main port. Additionally, Kaspa peas have target buying levels at U$420/MT, contrasting with offers at U$475/MT as Australia origin values remain strong and illiquid. 

Trade movements for Faba beans and Lupins in Egypt have remained stagnant, with Lupins being quoted at U$540/MT for CIF Damietta in containers, yet there has been no notable interest from buyers. Faba beans demand covered by bulk vessels and longer containers transit to Egypt keeping traders away.

In Bangladesh, trade offers for CHK1 have been quoted at U$825/MT CFR Chittagong in containers for Nov/Dec shipments, but there is limited interest from buyers. Kaspa peas quoted at U$490-495/MT levels to CFR Chittagong containers.

In Nepal, we are noticing minimal trade demand for Australian lentils & no firm demands for CHK1, as NIP1/HAL1 trades reported at U$760 CNF Birgunj and quoted at U$765/MT levels.

South Australia, parts of Victoria and WA remain dry which is causing some trade anxiety and lower grower sales participation in current markets. Dryness now may also impact 24/25 crop prospects in these 2 states. Qld, NSW and eastern parts of Victoria are well poised for a good planting due to substantial availability of subsoil moisture. About 70% of winter crop expected to have been planted by mid-May.

Traders projecting a desi chickpeas crop of appx. 1.5 MMT with increased planting intentions on account of extremely good pricing cues of upcountry bids of A$1000 +/-. ABARE June crop report eagerly awaited by trade for crop size and potential.

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Grains, Pulses & Oilseeds Market Update (10/05/2024)

The dry conditions in Russia over the past week have driven US and European wheat futures to their highest levels. The global wheat market has been on an upward trend since last week. Domestic wheat prices in Australia have seen an increase of A$10 to A$15. In SEA region, APW being quoted at U$300/MT levels; APH2 at U$355/MT levels to CNF SEA major ports. 

Australian containerized wheat exports saw a 13.6% increase in Mar,24 compared to last month, primarily to Indonesia, China, and Taiwan, while bulk wheat exports grew by 12% in Mar24 compared to last month, with China, Indonesia, and Yemen being the top importers as per ABS.

India lifted import duty on Australian desi chickpeas. It is NIL duty till 31 March 2025. This has led to a price increase for both old and new crop in Australia. Trade offers for Australian CHK1 are being heard at U$815/MT for November/December shipments to CNF India’s main ports. Some trades of CHK1 have been reported at U$790-800/MT. Price discovery still on and we note that trade volumes are low till some price floor is reached on desi chickpeas. Currently, the market demand for Australian lentils into India is sluggish, with trade offers at U$725-730/MT in containers, yet there is no firm interest from buyers.

Reports indicate that Pakistan’s domestic desi chickpea crop has not met its production target. The local market saw a significant increase in CHKM prices, jumping from U$620/MT to U$680/MT over the weekend. We hearing the CHKM quoted at U$780/MT to CFR Karachi (May/June) in containers. Meanwhile, there is a slow demand for Australian red lentils, with trade offers heard at U$725 per metric ton to CFR Karachi in containers.

In Bangladesh, there is a noticeable interest in the Australian CHK1 (new crop), with trade offers reported at U$780/MT for CFR Chittagong for October shipment.

Australian desi chickpeas export is up by 1% compared to the last month, with Bangladesh, UAE & Pakistan are major buyers as per ABS.

Australian lentil exports rose by 70% in Mar,24 compared to the previous month, with Bangladesh and India as major importers as per ABS.

The Chinese market remains stable for Sorghum, with a keen interest in Argentina’s sorghum, which is trading at U$250/MT for CNF China in bulk. Meanwhile, Australian sorghum is being offered at U$298-300/MT in containers, but there is limited interest due to the offers not meeting the buyers’ target price of U$290/MT.

Currently, there is weak demand for Australian GMB, with trade offers at USD 930/MT to CFR Qingdao in containers. The demand for Kaspa peas remains minimal, with trade offers heard at USD 455/MT to CFR Tianjin in containers. There is consistent demand for barley, with Australian barley competing with Russian barley; trade offers for Australian barley are at U$275/MT to CFR Tianjin.

In Nepal, there is currently minimal demand for Australian red lentils and Canola. Trade offers for CHK1 are being quoted at NIP1/HAL1 – U$775/MT levels, while Canola with a min 44% is trading at U$605/MT to CFR Birgunj in containers.

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Grains, Pulses & Oilseeds Market Update (03/05/2024)

Recent issues in the Middle East and Black Sea regions have led to a firm up of the global wheat markets, propelling prices upward, while the Australian wheat market has strengthened last week. As we are hearing that APW traded at US$289/MT for CFR BMT for July shipment; APH2 being quoted at US$350/MT to CNF major SEA ports.

This week, as China is on holiday, the market demand has slowed. However, Australian red sorghum no. 1 is currently trading at U$285/MT for CFR Tianjin for July/August shipments. There is no firm interest in Australian GMB processing grade, with trade offers at U$940/MT to CFR Qingdao in containers. Similarly, there is no demand for Kaspa peas, with trade offers heard at U$440/MT for CFR Tianjin in containers. Trade offers for Australian barley stand at U$262/MT levels to CNF major China ports.

Since last two weeks demand for old crop desi chickpeas is strengthening, reflecting interest for May/June shipments from ME, Pakistan & Bangladesh. Despite domestic crop in India and Pakistan on harvest now, we are continuing to see strengthening domestic demand strength in both countries and there is expectation that demand will continue to spike towards end of 2024 due to a tight domestic balance sheet on account of lower planted area. Speculative still whether India will allow duty free imports. Trade offers for CHKM have been reported at U$685/MT for CFR Karachi, but buyer interest remains limited while they receive supplies from domestic crop harvest at an import parity basis U$595-U$600/MT. New crop Oct/Nov/Dec shipment slot Australian CHK1 remains strongly bid by traders in Australia and for CFR markets. Australian CHK1 new crop, with market offers seen at U$770/MT (Oct/Nov/Dec) & CHK1 old crop, trade offers at U$750/MT (June/July) for multiple port options.

The demand for Australian red lentils has slowed down. Additionally, trade offeror NIP1/HAL1 are being offered at U$720-U$730/MT to Indian sub-continent ports (June/July) in containers. Market experts indicate that local market prices have decreased, with Nipper at import buying interest basis of U$695/MT.

Trade activity in Nepal is stagnant due to sluggish market demand. Current trade offers for CHK1 are reported at U$810/MT for CFR Birgunj. Meanwhile, canola is indicated at U$650/MT for CFR Birgunj, yet there is no interest from buyers. 

The market demand for faba beans & lupins is weak in Egypt, with very limited business opportunities in containerized trade compared to bulk shipping, as the local crop harvest is near. Trade offers for lupins have been reported to CFR Damietta in containers at U$490/MT with limited buyer interest. Faba beans earlier bid U$505/MT CFR Damietta in containers but this week demand has waned. Very limited supplies in Australia as bulk shippers chasing limited tonnes with aggressive pricing to fill their shipping commitments in May/June.

On crop plating in Australia, WA and SA are dry sowing with both states receiving limited rain. Qld, NSW and parts of Vic have received good rainfall and expecting more this weekend which should be for seed germination and crop growth.

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